What Can Brown Do For You?

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    12/19/2011 4:43 PM - 

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    Well, this is my last waiver article, as most league championships should be decided this week. So, there won’t be any guys to monitor, it’s either add them or avoid them. So, what can Brown do you for you? Donald Brown that is. He delivered his owners, those that started him, a 161 yard performance en route to the Colts’ first win of the season and avoid being the 2nd team it go winless since 2008. CJ Spiller also broke out with a huge week 15, but in most cases, his points were left on the bench or even on the waiver wire. Hopefully, you didn’t get beat by any of these guys in your quest for fantasy glory, but you might be able to still pick up anyone from this list of guys heading into championship week. If your match-ups aren’t favorable for some of your fringe guys, these guys could help you in week 16. Here’s a look at some guys to add, and those to avoid for week 16…

    Quarterback

    Add These Guys
    Andy Dalton, CIN (Owned in 37% ESPN Leagues): He seem to have hit the proverbial rookie wall over the last several weeks, as he hasn’t hit 200 yards passing since week 12. He also had a bit of a poor showing against the Rams this past week. I like the match-up for Dalton, at home, against an Arizona team allowing just over 270 YPG in the air and at least a passing TD. AJ Green should be fine for the match-up, allowing Dalton to have a solid game. He’s definitely an add this week for those in two QB leagues.

    Matt Moore, MIA (Owned in 4.9% ESPN Leagues): Moore suffered a concussion in week 14, hence the bad numbers, and made the start in week 15. Moore threw for 217 yards and 2 scores and now has 14+ fantasy points in 5 of his last 6. You couldn’t have asked for a better match-up in week 16, than with the New England Patriots. If you’re on the fringe with your QB, you might want to take the upside with the match-up and look to Moore.

    Kyle Orton, KCC (Owned in 15.1% ESPN Leagues): While he didn’t throw a TD pass, he threw for 299 yards against a porous Green Bay secondary and looked good doing it. A very favorable match-up is in store for him this week against the Raiders, who are giving up 275 YPG to opposing QBs and 2 scores per game. Orton has solid receiving options in Dwyane Bowe and Steve Breaston, not to mention a strong defense, and could make a sneaky start in week 16.

    Jake Locker, TEN (Owned in 1.9% ESPN Leagues): He’s got a good arm and he’s mobile. He came on in relief, yet again, in week 15 and threw for 108 yards and a TD pass. I think the Titans might give Locker a chance, and see what they have in his kid so they can see if they can move on from Matt Hasselbeck. Hass received the dreaded, non-committal, when asked if he’d start week 16. Locker looks to give the Titans a better chance to win and he would have a solid match-up against the Jaguars.

    Matt Flynn, QB (Owned in 0 Leagues): This move would be purely speculative, as the Packers lost in week 15, but are still fighting for a first round bye. If your league plays in week 17, you might want to add him for the match-up with Detroit. Rodgers owners might want to add him for the insurance policy just in case he sits.

    Avoid These Guys
    Dan Orlovsky, IND (Owned in 1% ESPN Leagues): If he’s still on your wire, I’d avoid him as he has a match-up with the Houston Texans in week 16. Yeah, I see they got torched by the Panthers, but even as a rookie, Cam Newton is a far better QB than Orlovsky.

    Running Back

    Add These Guys
    Donald Brown, IND (Owned in 20.2% ESPN Leagues): Brown rumbled his way to 161 yards and a TD as the Colts avoided going winless. In addition to his big week, Brown has double digit fantasy points in 3 of his last 4 games and is worth adding in most leagues just for the depth. Now, this week, he has a tougher match-up with the Texans.

    Sammy Morris, DAL (Owned in 0 Leagues): The veteran was brought in for depth when DeMarco Murray went down for the season. Morris received 12 carries and averaged over 4 YPC against the Bucs. He’s certainly worth adding as insurance to Felix Jones, especially if your playoffs extend into week 17. For those in deeper leagues, he could make a sneaky add.

    Jackie Battle, KCC (Owned in 28.3% ESPN Leagues): Battle finally has a competent QB under center and he scored his first TD since week 8. Battle has a nice match-up with the Raiders, who are giving up the 4th most fantasy points to opposing RBs, and are allowing 158 total yards per game and at least one TD this season. Definitely a sneaky flex play this week.

    Lance Ball, DEN (Owned in 2.6% ESPN Leagues): Ball received 11 carries in the game, and turned those into 64 yards, including a 32 yard TD run. Willis McGahee’s status is up in the air, but Ball could be the one that starts this week. Even if McGahee suits up, Ball is still a good flex against a gassed Buffalo run defense, that just lost Marcel Dareus.

    Avoid These Guys
    Dexter McCluster, KCC (Owned in 22.2% ESPN Leagues): You just never know what you’re going to get with this guy and his upside is capped that it’s not even worth it. He only has one game in double digit fantasy points and has gone over 5 pts just twice. That’s not a recipe for fantasy success.

    Montario Hardesty (Owned in 19.6% ESPN Leagues): There’s no split in Cleveland anymore. Hardesty received 0 touches, while Peyton Hillis received 27 touches in the overtime loss to Arizona. Even if Hardesty were getting any carries, the Browns backs have tough match-ups with the Steelers and Ravens and his body wouldn’t be able to handle their physical play anyway. If he’s on the wire, keep him there.

    Wide Receiver

    Add These Guys
    Golden Tate, SEA (Owned in less than 1% ESPN Leagues): Tate has really stepped up and is trending upward. He’s had games of 6+ fantasy points in 3 of the last 4 and 14 total targets in the last two weeks. More importantly, he’s getting the opportunities as he received 54 snaps, compared to just 41 for Ben Obamanu and 32 for Doug Baldwin. He’s an intriguing, albeit risky, WR3 this week.

    Earl Bennett, CHI (Owned in 14.9% ESPN Leagues): Bennett saw 54 offensive snaps in week 15 and figures to see that many going forward with Johnny Knox going down for the season. He’ll still be a risky WR, seeing only 1 target in week 15, but the Bears WRs have a favorable match-up against the Packers in week 16.

    Nate Burleson, DET (Owned in 27.5% ESPN Leagues): Burleson’s targets have been on the rise since week 7, as he’s averaged 8 targets per game, including 11 in week 15. The Chargers do a good job on locking down receivers, but this game figures to be a shoot-out. Burleson is a risky, but high upside WR3.

    Steve Breaston, KCC (Owned in 25% ESPN Leagues): Breaston has been consistent with his receptions and yards, but just isn’t scoring. Breaston seemed to do well with Orton and received 6 targets, which is about what he’s been getting this season. Over the last 3 weeks, the Raiders have given up the 10th most fantasy points to WRs, so he has a nice match-up this week if you’re looking for the WR help.

    Malcom Floyd, SDC (Owned in 67.7% ESPN Leagues): Floyd has 2 scores in the last 3 weeks and has posted 96+ yards in two of the last three. He’s an inconsistent option, but it’s hard to ignore the match-up he has with the Lions this week. I like him as a strong WR3 against the Lions, who’s allowing the 4th most fantasy points to opposing WRs in the last three weeks.

    Avoid These Guys
    Greg Little, CLE (Owned in 8.8% ESPN Leagues): I think you can find better options on the wire this week than Little. Sure, he had his break-out game against the Cardinals, but he’s facing the league’s two best defenses against wide receivers in weeks 16 and 17. Plus, I don’t think he’s going to have Seneca Wallace throwing him the ball in either of those games, as Colt McCoy is looking like he’ll get the start as long as he passes neuro tests. Either way, I’m avoiding him against the Ravens, who’s defense is 27th in points allowed to opposing WRs.

    Doug Baldwin, SEA (Owned in 24.5% ESPN Leagues): He’s losing snaps and targets to Golden Tate and is just too inconsistent of an option to trust heading into week 16. I’d rather have Tate from the wire, or another option altogether.

    Donte Stallworth, WAS (Owned in 0 ESPN Leagues): After coming out of nowhere, to have his best game in years, he fell back to earth as he was targeted just 3 times and saw 31 offensive snaps, compared 44 for Santana Moss and 37 for Jabar Gaffney. Stallworth should be avoided this week and for the rest of the season.

    Stay in touch with me the rest of the season here at FantasyFootball.com. In addition to the website, follow me on Twitter @MentalAcumen and find me over at Facebook.


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